Friday, May 17, 2013

J.C.Penney Is Fighting For Survival


J.C.Penney just reported 1Q13 sales and earnings. They were previewed in part on May 7, 2013. Now we know the facts – sales were lousy, they dropped 16.4% over the previous year’s horrible figures when sales dropped 20.1%. The company now has an annual revenue run rate of $12.5 billion, a drop of 36% since January 2012. A net loss of $348 Million ($1.58 a share) was reported in the first quarter, a cumulative loss of $1.3 Billion since Ron Johnson took over. Mike Ullman, who returned to save the company, has an urgent need to preserve cash. In the first quarter the company burned through $970 million in cash pursuing completion of some of the projects already underway such as the home store (to be opened June 6 in 505 stores) and home boutique shops like Michael Graves, Bodum and Design by Conran.  I believe the company was not far from declaring bankruptcy without the recent $1.75 Billion senior loan facility and the revolving credit line that was drawn down, There is about $531 Million left on the asset backed loan. It is Mike Ullman who is convincing investors, suppliers, and associates that his plan will bring the company back to a financially strong position. The need for a strong marketing program is evident. Ullman’s first strategic step to beef up marketing and promotions can be seen in recent ads that have a stronger promotional flavor and include coupons.   Promotional circulars available in some cities, like New York, communicate an urgent message to shop.  One thing I do not understand is why some large markets like Boston and Washington do not have these circulars inserted in their leading newspapers.  I assume that eventually they will.